No. 85 · Big Ten · 3-6
Michigan State
−2.82
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
74–95
P25–P75 finish
Power +0.9 pts (#63 in FBS) · 3-6
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#66 Michigan+0.35
#66 Michigan+0.35W
#49 Toledo+0.14
#49 Toledo+0.14W
#121 Eastern Michigan+0.03
#121 Eastern Michigan+0.03L
#4 Notre Dame−0.22
#4 Notre Dame−0.22L
#2 UCLA−0.34
#2 UCLA−0.34L
#25 Wisconsin−0.63
#25 Wisconsin−0.63L
#42 Northwestern−0.67
#42 Northwestern−0.67L
#69 Nebraska−0.70
#69 Nebraska−0.70L
#38 Illinois−0.79
#38 Illinois−0.79Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 30-20 | vs #49 Toledo | +0.4 | 85.5% | +0.14 |
| 2 | W 35-7 | vs #121 Eastern Michigan | −8.4 | 96.7% | +0.03 |
| 3 | L 10-27 | @ #4 Notre Dame | +17.4 | 21.6% | −0.22 |
| 4 | L 13-31 | vs #69 Nebraska | +6.6 | 70.0% | −0.70 |
| 5 | L 3-31 | @ #25 Wisconsin | +4.5 | 63.2% | −0.63 |
| 6 | L 37-38 | vs #38 Illinois | +3.4 | 78.9% | −0.79 |
| 7 | L 21-24 | vs #42 Northwestern | +7.6 | 66.9% | −0.67 |
| 8 | L 10-28 | @ #2 UCLA | +13.1 | 34.0% | −0.34 |
| 10 | W 15-6 | @ #66 Michigan | +3.9 | 65.2% | +0.35 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 38
- Week 2: 20
- Week 3: 37
- Week 4: 61
- Week 5: 65
- Week 6: 96
- Week 7: 108
- Week 8: 105
- Week 9: 102
- Week 10: 85