No. 38 · Big Ten · 6-3
Illinois
−0.66
WAB
1%
Playoff odds
<1%
Conf title
36–55
P25–P75 finish
Power +3.6 pts (#49 in FBS) · 6-3
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#13 Oregon+0.45
#13 Oregon+0.45W
#69 Nebraska+0.40
#69 Nebraska+0.40W
#85 Michigan State+0.26
#85 Michigan State+0.26W
#101 Maryland+0.15
#101 Maryland+0.15W
#77 UAB+0.05
#77 UAB+0.05WSouthern Illinois (FCS)+0.00
L
#22 Ohio State−0.41
#22 Ohio State−0.41L
#37 Duke−0.68
#37 Duke−0.68L
#93 Purdue−0.87
#93 Purdue−0.87Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 42-23 | vs #77 UAB | −6.7 | 95.3% | +0.05 |
| 2 | L 27-31 | vs #37 Duke | +7.2 | 68.1% | −0.68 |
| 3 | W 48-10 | vs Southern Illinois (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 4 | L 19-42 | @ #22 Ohio State | +11.0 | 40.8% | −0.41 |
| 5 | L 17-24 | vs #93 Purdue | −0.6 | 87.4% | −0.87 |
| 6 | W 38-37 | @ #85 Michigan State | +1.1 | 73.6% | +0.26 |
| 8 | W 21-10 | vs #13 Oregon | +11.2 | 55.1% | +0.45 |
| 9 | W 20-17 | @ #101 Maryland | −3.8 | 85.4% | +0.15 |
| 10 | W 24-13 | vs #69 Nebraska | +9.7 | 60.2% | +0.40 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 33
- Week 2: 78
- Week 3: 65
- Week 4: 74
- Week 5: 97
- Week 6: 78
- Week 7: 78
- Week 8: 60
- Week 9: 48
- Week 10: 38