No. 42 · Big Ten · 6-3
Northwestern
−0.87
WAB
<1%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
30–47
P25–P75 finish
Power +7.5 pts (#30 in FBS) · 6-3
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#67 Penn State+0.32
#67 Penn State+0.32W
#85 Michigan State+0.26
#85 Michigan State+0.26W
#97 Colorado+0.07
#97 Colorado+0.07W
#123 Rutgers+0.05
#123 Rutgers+0.05W
#115 Ball State+0.03
#115 Ball State+0.03WSouth Dakota State (FCS)+0.00
L
#9 Indiana−0.44
#9 Indiana−0.44L
#13 Oregon−0.47
#13 Oregon−0.47L
#19 Iowa−0.69
#19 Iowa−0.69Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 34-18 | vs South Dakota State (FCS) | −22.1 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | W 41-7 | vs #97 Colorado | −4.2 | 92.8% | +0.07 |
| 4 | L 23-29 | @ #9 Indiana | +10.1 | 44.1% | −0.44 |
| 5 | W 34-13 | vs #67 Penn State | +7.3 | 67.9% | +0.32 |
| 6 | W 45-14 | vs #115 Ball State | −8.6 | 96.8% | +0.03 |
| 7 | W 24-21 | @ #85 Michigan State | +0.8 | 74.2% | +0.26 |
| 8 | W 42-14 | vs #123 Rutgers | −6.6 | 95.2% | +0.05 |
| 9 | L 26-34 | @ #13 Oregon | +9.1 | 47.3% | −0.47 |
| 10 | L 10-24 | vs #19 Iowa | +6.9 | 69.2% | −0.69 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 85
- Week 2: 52
- Week 3: 30
- Week 4: 43
- Week 5: 26
- Week 6: 23
- Week 7: 17
- Week 8: 17
- Week 9: 29
- Week 10: 42