No. 49 · Mid-American · 7-2

Toledo

−1.32

WAB

Playoff odds

50%

Conf title

35–54

P25–P75 finish

Power −0.5 pts (#75 in FBS) · 7-2

Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble

#59 Western Michigan+0.15

#91 San Diego State+0.07

#121 Eastern Michigan+0.07

#115 Ball State+0.07

#128 Temple+0.04

#137 Sacramento State+0.02

WCentral Connecticut (FCS)+0.00

#85 Michigan State−0.76

#60 Buffalo−0.98

Game by game

Wk	Result	Opponent	Opp power	Bubble team wins	WAB
1	L 20-30	@ #85 Michigan State	+0.4	75.5%	−0.76
2	W 63-10	vs Central Connecticut (FCS)	−22.0	99.9%	+0.00
3	W 49-48	vs #128 Temple	−7.2	95.7%	+0.04
4	W 41-16	vs #91 San Diego State	−4.0	92.6%	+0.07
5	W 39-24	@ #115 Ball State	−8.9	93.3%	+0.07
6	L 8-23	vs #60 Buffalo	−10.2	97.7%	−0.98
7	W 34-14	@ #121 Eastern Michigan	−8.7	93.2%	+0.07
8	W 45-38	vs #59 Western Michigan	+0.5	85.4%	+0.15
10	W 20-17	@ #137 Sacramento State	−16.5	98.5%	+0.02

“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.

Rank trajectory

Week 1: 100
Week 2: 75
Week 3: 61
Week 4: 62
Week 5: 45
Week 6: 74
Week 7: 65
Week 8: 61
Week 9: 57
Week 10: 49