No. 4 · FBS Independents · 8-1

Notre Dame

+1.64

WAB

95%

Playoff odds

100%

Conf title

3–6

P25–P75 finish

Power +17.5 pts (#2 in FBS) · 8-1

Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble

#5 Miami+0.61

#25 Wisconsin+0.44

#44 North Carolina+0.43

#93 Purdue+0.31

#85 Michigan State+0.16

#112 Navy+0.14

#64 Stanford+0.04

#130 Rice+0.04

#11 BYU−0.53

Game by game

Wk	Result	Opponent	Opp power	Bubble team wins	WAB
1	W 41-13	n. #25 Wisconsin	+8.6	56.4%	+0.44
2	W 52-0	vs #130 Rice	−7.9	96.3%	+0.04
3	W 27-10	vs #85 Michigan State	+1.2	84.0%	+0.16
4	W 49-10	@ #93 Purdue	+2.5	69.5%	+0.31
5	W 37-26	@ #44 North Carolina	+6.4	56.9%	+0.43
6	W 58-7	vs #64 Stanford	−7.2	95.8%	+0.04
7	L 24-28	@ #11 BYU	+7.5	52.8%	−0.53
9	W 35-13	n. #112 Navy	−1.8	85.6%	+0.14
10	W 31-24	vs #5 Miami	+15.9	39.1%	+0.61

“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.

Rank trajectory

Week 1: 8
Week 2: 13
Week 3: 4
Week 4: 4
Week 5: 3
Week 6: 1
Week 7: 9
Week 8: 8
Week 9: 7
Week 10: 4