No. 8 · SEC · 7-2

Texas

+1.20

WAB

74%

Playoff odds

14%

Conf title

5–12

P25–P75 finish

Power +14.2 pts (#6 in FBS) · 7-2

Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble

#15 Tennessee+0.67

#33 Missouri+0.51

#22 Ohio State+0.47

#17 Ole Miss+0.43

#58 Texas State+0.30

#52 Mississippi State+0.21

#27 UTSA+0.17

#32 Oklahoma−0.73

#34 Florida−0.81

Game by game

Wk	Result	Opponent	Opp power	Bubble team wins	WAB
1	W 59-7	vs #58 Texas State	+6.5	70.4%	+0.30
2	W 24-23	vs #22 Ohio State	+11.9	52.7%	+0.47
3	W 30-6	vs #27 UTSA	+1.6	83.0%	+0.17
4	W 20-17	@ #15 Tennessee	+13.4	33.2%	+0.67
6	L 24-27	n. #32 Oklahoma	+3.4	73.2%	−0.73
7	L 24-27	vs #34 Florida	+2.4	81.2%	−0.81
8	W 34-27	vs #17 Ole Miss	+10.6	57.1%	+0.43
9	W 31-3	vs #52 Mississippi State	+3.3	79.3%	+0.21
10	W 34-20	@ #33 Missouri	+8.5	49.4%	+0.51

“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.

Rank trajectory

Week 1: 27
Week 2: 5
Week 3: 3
Week 4: 1
Week 5: 2
Week 6: 12
Week 7: 24
Week 8: 11
Week 9: 11
Week 10: 8