No. 58 · Pac-12 · 5-4
Texas State
−1.79
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
43–60
P25–P75 finish
Power +4.4 pts (#42 in FBS) · 5-4
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#76 Oregon State+0.39
#76 Oregon State+0.39W
#29 North Texas+0.29
#29 North Texas+0.29W
#84 Utah State+0.06
#84 Utah State+0.06W
#117 Colorado State+0.04
#117 Colorado State+0.04WIncarnate Word (FCS)+0.00
L
#8 Texas−0.37
#8 Texas−0.37L
#14 Boise State−0.42
#14 Boise State−0.42L
#27 UTSA−0.88
#27 UTSA−0.88L
#91 San Diego State−0.90
#91 San Diego State−0.90Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 7-59 | @ #8 Texas | +12.2 | 37.1% | −0.37 |
| 2 | L 26-31 | vs #27 UTSA | −0.8 | 87.9% | −0.88 |
| 3 | W 49-35 | vs #29 North Texas | +6.3 | 70.9% | +0.29 |
| 4 | W 63-10 | vs Incarnate Word (FCS) | −21.9 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 5 | L 29-31 | @ #91 San Diego State | −6.7 | 90.3% | −0.90 |
| 7 | W 66-27 | vs #117 Colorado State | −7.4 | 95.9% | +0.04 |
| 8 | W 20-17 | vs #84 Utah State | −5.0 | 93.7% | +0.06 |
| 9 | L 45-46 | @ #14 Boise State | +10.6 | 42.3% | −0.42 |
| 10 | W 42-21 | @ #76 Oregon State | +5.1 | 61.1% | +0.39 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 122
- Week 2: 122
- Week 3: 96
- Week 4: 77
- Week 5: 98
- Week 6: 90
- Week 7: 88
- Week 8: 68
- Week 9: 78
- Week 10: 58