No. 27 · American Athletic · 7-2
UTSA
−0.28
WAB
<1%
Playoff odds
26%
Conf title
31–50
P25–P75 finish
Power +0.4 pts (#69 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#58 Texas State+0.41
#58 Texas State+0.41W
#65 South Florida+0.19
#65 South Florida+0.19W
#104 Tulane+0.12
#104 Tulane+0.12W
#112 Navy+0.09
#112 Navy+0.09W
#130 Rice+0.07
#130 Rice+0.07W
#117 Colorado State+0.03
#117 Colorado State+0.03WUT Rio Grande Valley (FCS)+0.00
L
#8 Texas−0.33
#8 Texas−0.33L
#55 Florida Atlantic−0.85
#55 Florida Atlantic−0.85Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 45-16 | vs UT Rio Grande Valley (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 2 | W 31-26 | @ #58 Texas State | +5.6 | 59.4% | +0.41 |
| 3 | L 6-30 | @ #8 Texas | +13.3 | 33.4% | −0.33 |
| 4 | W 59-45 | vs #117 Colorado State | −8.4 | 96.6% | +0.03 |
| 5 | W 16-14 | @ #130 Rice | −8.9 | 93.2% | +0.07 |
| 6 | W 31-24 | vs #65 South Florida | +2.5 | 81.2% | +0.19 |
| 7 | W 38-34 | vs #112 Navy | −2.5 | 90.6% | +0.09 |
| 8 | W 42-19 | @ #104 Tulane | −5.5 | 88.5% | +0.12 |
| 10 | L 29-60 | @ #55 Florida Atlantic | −3.8 | 85.3% | −0.85 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 73
- Week 2: 44
- Week 3: 46
- Week 4: 31
- Week 5: 28
- Week 6: 24
- Week 7: 25
- Week 8: 13
- Week 9: 15
- Week 10: 27