No. 21 · Mountain West · 8-1
New Mexico
+0.15
WAB
16%
Playoff odds
79%
Conf title
15–28
P25–P75 finish
Power +8.7 pts (#21 in FBS) · 8-1
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#36 North Dakota State+0.34
#36 North Dakota State+0.34W
#113 Nevada+0.14
#113 Nevada+0.14W
#105 San José State+0.09
#105 San José State+0.09W
#119 New Mexico State+0.08
#119 New Mexico State+0.08W
#96 Central Michigan+0.08
#96 Central Michigan+0.08W
#126 Hawai'i+0.07
#126 Hawai'i+0.07W
#133 UTEP+0.01
#133 UTEP+0.01WMercyhurst (FCS)+0.00
L
#32 Oklahoma−0.66
#32 Oklahoma−0.66Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 38-7 | vs #96 Central Michigan | −3.5 | 91.9% | +0.08 |
| 2 | W 70-7 | vs Mercyhurst (FCS) | −21.9 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | L 6-14 | @ #32 Oklahoma | +3.7 | 65.8% | −0.66 |
| 4 | W 42-18 | @ #119 New Mexico State | −7.7 | 91.8% | +0.08 |
| 5 | W 61-7 | vs #133 UTEP | −14.8 | 99.1% | +0.01 |
| 7 | W 21-10 | @ #126 Hawai'i | −8.9 | 93.2% | +0.07 |
| 8 | W 21-16 | vs #36 North Dakota State | +7.9 | 66.2% | +0.34 |
| 9 | W 21-16 | @ #105 San José State | −7.0 | 91.0% | +0.09 |
| 10 | W 31-3 | @ #113 Nevada | −4.0 | 85.8% | +0.14 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 22
- Week 2: 49
- Week 3: 62
- Week 4: 67
- Week 5: 55
- Week 6: 42
- Week 7: 39
- Week 8: 27
- Week 9: 26
- Week 10: 21