No. 113 · Mountain West · 3-6
Nevada
−4.18
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
104–119
P25–P75 finish
Power −5.8 pts (#104 in FBS) · 3-6
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#105 San José State+0.06
#105 San José State+0.06W
#116 Western Kentucky+0.04
#116 Western Kentucky+0.04W
#133 UTEP+0.03
#133 UTEP+0.03L
#2 UCLA−0.34
#2 UCLA−0.34L
#36 North Dakota State−0.53
#36 North Dakota State−0.53L
#21 New Mexico−0.68
#21 New Mexico−0.68L
#43 Air Force−0.85
#43 Air Force−0.85L
#94 Middle Tennessee−0.91
#94 Middle Tennessee−0.91LMontana State (FCS)−1.00
Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 49-14 | vs #116 Western Kentucky | −7.3 | 95.8% | +0.04 |
| 2 | L 7-20 | vs Montana State (FCS) | −22.3 | 99.9% | −1.00 |
| 3 | L 20-27 | @ #94 Middle Tennessee | −7.2 | 91.1% | −0.91 |
| 4 | L 33-36 | vs #43 Air Force | +0.8 | 84.7% | −0.85 |
| 6 | W 30-13 | @ #133 UTEP | −14.0 | 97.4% | +0.03 |
| 7 | L 17-31 | @ #36 North Dakota State | +7.5 | 52.9% | −0.53 |
| 8 | W 28-13 | vs #105 San José State | −5.3 | 94.1% | +0.06 |
| 9 | L 0-27 | @ #2 UCLA | +13.1 | 34.2% | −0.34 |
| 10 | L 3-31 | vs #21 New Mexico | +7.3 | 67.9% | −0.68 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 21
- Week 2: 119
- Week 3: 126
- Week 4: 132
- Week 5: 124
- Week 6: 114
- Week 7: 118
- Week 8: 107
- Week 9: 109
- Week 10: 113