No. 105 · Mountain West · 5-5
San José State
−3.66
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
93–116
P25–P75 finish
Power −6.5 pts (#108 in FBS) · 5-5
Where the WAB came from10 games · wins above bubble
W
#126 Hawai'i+0.08
#126 Hawai'i+0.08W
#121 Eastern Michigan+0.06
#121 Eastern Michigan+0.06W
#133 UTEP+0.02
#133 UTEP+0.02W
#138 Northern Illinois+0.00
#138 Northern Illinois+0.00WCal Poly (FCS)+0.00
L
#18 USC−0.53
#18 USC−0.53L
#21 New Mexico−0.60
#21 New Mexico−0.60L
#75 Fresno State−0.85
#75 Fresno State−0.85L
#113 Nevada−0.91
#113 Nevada−0.91L
#61 Wyoming−0.95
#61 Wyoming−0.95Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 26-42 | @ #18 USC | +7.6 | 52.7% | −0.53 |
| 1 | W 27-21 | @ #121 Eastern Michigan | −9.4 | 93.9% | +0.06 |
| 2 | W 30-20 | vs Cal Poly (FCS) | −22.1 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | L 10-26 | vs #75 Fresno State | +0.9 | 84.6% | −0.85 |
| 5 | W 20-16 | @ #126 Hawai'i | −8.0 | 92.1% | +0.08 |
| 6 | L 13-16 | vs #61 Wyoming | −6.1 | 94.8% | −0.95 |
| 7 | W 24-11 | @ #133 UTEP | −14.3 | 97.5% | +0.02 |
| 8 | L 13-28 | @ #113 Nevada | −7.0 | 90.8% | −0.91 |
| 9 | L 16-21 | vs #21 New Mexico | +9.6 | 60.4% | −0.60 |
| 10 | W 30-19 | vs #138 Northern Illinois | −17.9 | 99.6% | +0.00 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 45
- Week 2: 53
- Week 3: 95
- Week 4: 90
- Week 5: 72
- Week 6: 104
- Week 7: 96
- Week 8: 108
- Week 9: 111
- Week 10: 105