No. 36 · Mountain West · 7-2
North Dakota State
−0.73
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
5%
Conf title
29–44
P25–P75 finish
Power +7.4 pts (#33 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#43 Air Force+0.25
#43 Air Force+0.25W
#47 Jacksonville State+0.22
#47 Jacksonville State+0.22W
#61 Wyoming+0.07
#61 Wyoming+0.07W
#113 Nevada+0.05
#113 Nevada+0.05W
#137 Sacramento State+0.02
#137 Sacramento State+0.02W
#133 UTEP+0.01
#133 UTEP+0.01WFordham (FCS)+0.00
L
#21 New Mexico−0.49
#21 New Mexico−0.49L
#83 UNLV−0.86
#83 UNLV−0.86Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 33-7 | vs #47 Jacksonville State | +3.7 | 78.1% | +0.22 |
| 1 | W 38-0 | vs Fordham (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 2 | W 38-32 | @ #43 Air Force | +0.5 | 75.1% | +0.25 |
| 3 | W 31-10 | @ #137 Sacramento State | −15.7 | 98.2% | +0.02 |
| 5 | W 28-0 | vs #61 Wyoming | −4.7 | 93.3% | +0.07 |
| 6 | L 7-13 | @ #83 UNLV | −3.9 | 85.5% | −0.86 |
| 7 | W 31-17 | vs #113 Nevada | −5.9 | 94.6% | +0.05 |
| 8 | L 16-21 | @ #21 New Mexico | +8.6 | 49.0% | −0.49 |
| 9 | W 31-7 | vs #133 UTEP | −15.1 | 99.2% | +0.01 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 12
- Week 2: 10
- Week 3: 14
- Week 4: 17
- Week 5: 16
- Week 6: 36
- Week 7: 33
- Week 8: 41
- Week 9: 38
- Week 10: 36