No. 18 · Big Ten · 7-2
USC
+0.38
WAB
16%
Playoff odds
8%
Conf title
13–25
P25–P75 finish
Power +7.7 pts (#28 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#22 Ohio State+0.53
#22 Ohio State+0.53W
#67 Penn State+0.42
#67 Penn State+0.42W
#75 Fresno State+0.24
#75 Fresno State+0.24W
#68 Washington+0.18
#68 Washington+0.18W
#62 Louisiana+0.17
#62 Louisiana+0.17W
#123 Rutgers+0.07
#123 Rutgers+0.07W
#105 San José State+0.05
#105 San José State+0.05L
#25 Wisconsin−0.62
#25 Wisconsin−0.62L
#13 Oregon−0.65
#13 Oregon−0.65Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 42-26 | vs #105 San José State | −6.2 | 95.0% | +0.05 |
| 1 | W 39-0 | vs #75 Fresno State | +4.4 | 76.3% | +0.24 |
| 2 | W 49-30 | vs #62 Louisiana | +1.7 | 82.9% | +0.17 |
| 3 | W 42-35 | @ #123 Rutgers | −8.7 | 93.0% | +0.07 |
| 4 | L 27-41 | vs #13 Oregon | +8.1 | 65.4% | −0.65 |
| 5 | W 25-21 | vs #68 Washington | +2.0 | 82.2% | +0.18 |
| 6 | W 31-23 | @ #67 Penn State | +6.0 | 58.0% | +0.42 |
| 8 | L 7-24 | @ #25 Wisconsin | +4.7 | 62.3% | −0.62 |
| 9 | W 30-18 | vs #22 Ohio State | +13.6 | 46.7% | +0.53 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 2
- Week 2: 1
- Week 3: 7
- Week 4: 30
- Week 5: 27
- Week 6: 21
- Week 7: 21
- Week 8: 33
- Week 9: 17
- Week 10: 18