No. 14 · Pac-12 · 8-1
Boise State
+0.84
WAB
69%
Playoff odds
100%
Conf title
10–19
P25–P75 finish
Power +9.7 pts (#14 in FBS) · 8-1
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#75 Fresno State+0.30
#75 Fresno State+0.30W
#59 Western Michigan+0.30
#59 Western Michigan+0.30W
#41 Memphis+0.26
#41 Memphis+0.26W
#58 Texas State+0.22
#58 Texas State+0.22W
#117 Colorado State+0.08
#117 Colorado State+0.08W
#84 Utah State+0.07
#84 Utah State+0.07W
#132 Washington State+0.07
#132 Washington State+0.07WSouth Dakota (FCS)+0.00
L
#13 Oregon−0.48
#13 Oregon−0.48Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 27-34 | @ #13 Oregon | +9.0 | 47.9% | −0.48 |
| 2 | W 38-20 | vs #41 Memphis | +5.4 | 73.6% | +0.26 |
| 3 | W 38-24 | vs South Dakota (FCS) | −22.1 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 4 | W 32-7 | @ #59 Western Michigan | +2.2 | 70.2% | +0.30 |
| 5 | W 37-18 | vs #84 Utah State | −4.0 | 92.6% | +0.07 |
| 6 | W 38-31 | @ #75 Fresno State | +2.4 | 69.8% | +0.30 |
| 8 | W 31-10 | @ #132 Washington State | −8.5 | 92.8% | +0.07 |
| 9 | W 46-45 | vs #58 Texas State | +3.9 | 77.6% | +0.22 |
| 10 | W 64-38 | @ #117 Colorado State | −7.8 | 91.9% | +0.08 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 96
- Week 2: 67
- Week 3: 73
- Week 4: 33
- Week 5: 31
- Week 6: 16
- Week 7: 22
- Week 8: 18
- Week 9: 14
- Week 10: 14