No. 39 · Sun Belt · 8-2
James Madison
−0.79
WAB
<1%
Playoff odds
51%
Conf title
27–41
P25–P75 finish
Power +8.4 pts (#24 in FBS) · 8-2
Where the WAB came from10 games · wins above bubble
W
#20 Liberty+0.40
#20 Liberty+0.40W
#73 Georgia Southern+0.29
#73 Georgia Southern+0.29W
#86 Georgia State+0.15
#86 Georgia State+0.15W
#91 San Diego State+0.11
#91 San Diego State+0.11W
#127 Old Dominion+0.07
#127 Old Dominion+0.07W
#124 Southern Miss+0.05
#124 Southern Miss+0.05W
#79 Marshall+0.03
#79 Marshall+0.03WWagner (FCS)+0.00
L
#87 App State−0.90
#87 App State−0.90L
#98 Troy−0.98
#98 Troy−0.98Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 20-13 | vs #20 Liberty | +9.6 | 60.4% | +0.40 |
| 2 | W 87-3 | vs Wagner (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | W 26-13 | @ #91 San Diego State | −5.9 | 89.2% | +0.11 |
| 4 | W 46-20 | @ #127 Old Dominion | −8.8 | 93.3% | +0.07 |
| 5 | W 45-17 | vs #79 Marshall | −8.5 | 96.7% | +0.03 |
| 6 | W 27-24 | @ #73 Georgia Southern | +1.8 | 71.4% | +0.29 |
| 7 | W 49-22 | vs #86 Georgia State | +0.8 | 84.9% | +0.15 |
| 8 | L 31-34 | @ #87 App State | −6.6 | 90.2% | −0.90 |
| 9 | L 21-24 | vs #98 Troy | −10.2 | 97.6% | −0.98 |
| 10 | W 54-23 | @ #124 Southern Miss | −10.9 | 95.2% | +0.05 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 40
- Week 2: 50
- Week 3: 21
- Week 4: 21
- Week 5: 17
- Week 6: 13
- Week 7: 10
- Week 8: 25
- Week 9: 39
- Week 10: 39