No. 20 · Conference USA · 8-1
Liberty
+0.16
WAB
15%
Playoff odds
98%
Conf title
16–19
P25–P75 finish
Power +8.9 pts (#20 in FBS) · 8-1
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#111 Delaware+0.17
W
#118 Kennesaw State+0.15
W
#120 Coastal Carolina+0.14
W
#119 New Mexico State+0.07
W
#115 Ball State+0.03
W
#135 Sam Houston+0.01
WGardner-Webb (FCS)+0.00
L
#39 James Madison−0.52
Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 13-20 | @ | +7.9 | 51.7% | −0.52 |
| 2 | W 24-23 | vs Gardner-Webb (FCS) | −22.2 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | W 51-15 | vs | −8.8 | 96.9% | +0.03 |
| 4 | W 34-17 | @ | −4.3 | 86.3% | +0.14 |
| 5 | W 30-14 | @ | −2.5 | 82.6% | +0.17 |
| 6 | W 35-3 | vs | −12.8 | 98.6% | +0.01 |
| 8 | W 34-6 | @ | −3.5 | 84.9% | +0.15 |
| 9 | W 49-10 | vs | −2.5 | 90.5% | +0.09 |
| 10 | W 30-14 | @ | −8.4 | 92.6% | +0.07 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 98
- Week 2: 101
- Week 3: 63
- Week 4: 42
- Week 5: 35
- Week 6: 32
- Week 7: 32
- Week 8: 26
- Week 9: 21
- Week 10: 20