No. 79 · Sun Belt · 5-4
Marshall
−2.60
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
76–97
P25–P75 finish
Power −9.6 pts (#124 in FBS) · 5-4
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#106 South Alabama+0.08
#106 South Alabama+0.08W
#122 Missouri State+0.08
#122 Missouri State+0.08W
#127 Old Dominion+0.07
#127 Old Dominion+0.07W
#94 Middle Tennessee+0.05
#94 Middle Tennessee+0.05WGardner-Webb (FCS)+0.00
L
#39 James Madison−0.53
#39 James Madison−0.53L
#67 Penn State−0.64
#67 Penn State−0.64L
#73 Georgia Southern−0.76
#73 Georgia Southern−0.76L
#120 Coastal Carolina−0.94
#120 Coastal Carolina−0.94Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 0-45 | @ #67 Penn State | +4.1 | 64.4% | −0.64 |
| 2 | W 28-26 | vs #94 Middle Tennessee | −6.5 | 95.2% | +0.05 |
| 3 | W 30-24 | @ #122 Missouri State | −8.0 | 92.2% | +0.08 |
| 4 | W 36-35 | vs Gardner-Webb (FCS) | −22.2 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 5 | L 17-45 | @ #39 James Madison | +7.5 | 53.0% | −0.53 |
| 6 | L 21-27 | vs #120 Coastal Carolina | −5.5 | 94.2% | −0.94 |
| 8 | W 20-13 | vs #106 South Alabama | −3.4 | 91.9% | +0.08 |
| 9 | W 36-23 | @ #127 Old Dominion | −8.9 | 93.4% | +0.07 |
| 10 | L 13-49 | @ #73 Georgia Southern | +0.1 | 76.2% | −0.76 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 116
- Week 2: 57
- Week 3: 40
- Week 4: 56
- Week 5: 67
- Week 6: 97
- Week 7: 84
- Week 8: 75
- Week 9: 69
- Week 10: 79