No. 37 · ACC · 7-2
Duke
−0.75
WAB
1%
Playoff odds
<1%
Conf title
29–42
P25–P75 finish
Power +7.5 pts (#31 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#38 Illinois+0.35
W
#88 Virginia+0.23
W
#99 NC State+0.17
W
#95 Boston College+0.09
W
#64 Stanford+0.05
W
#104 Tulane+0.04
WWilliam & Mary (FCS)+0.00
L
#44 North Carolina−0.74
L
#125 Georgia Tech−0.95
Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 17-3 | vs | −7.8 | 96.2% | +0.04 |
| 2 | W 31-27 | @ | +3.9 | 65.1% | +0.35 |
| 3 | W 35-7 | vs | −6.1 | 94.8% | +0.05 |
| 4 | W 62-7 | vs William & Mary (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 6 | L 25-28 | @ | −10.2 | 94.6% | −0.95 |
| 7 | L 20-24 | vs | +5.3 | 74.0% | −0.74 |
| 8 | W 19-16 | @ | −0.0 | 76.6% | +0.23 |
| 9 | W 47-2 | vs | −3.1 | 91.4% | +0.09 |
| 10 | W 41-3 | @ | −2.5 | 82.6% | +0.17 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 34
- Week 2: 2
- Week 3: 12
- Week 4: 20
- Week 5: 19
- Week 6: 41
- Week 7: 57
- Week 8: 49
- Week 9: 40
- Week 10: 37