No. 60 · Mid-American · 6-3
Buffalo
−1.84
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
4%
Conf title
59–81
P25–P75 finish
Power −7.6 pts (#113 in FBS) · 6-3
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#49 Toledo+0.30
#49 Toledo+0.30W
#92 Miami (OH)+0.14
#92 Miami (OH)+0.14W
#100 Massachusetts+0.06
#100 Massachusetts+0.06W
#129 Bowling Green+0.03
#129 Bowling Green+0.03WUAlbany (FCS)+0.00
WRobert Morris (FCS)+0.00
L
#67 Penn State−0.65
#67 Penn State−0.65L
#59 Western Michigan−0.85
#59 Western Michigan−0.85Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 21-17 | vs UAlbany (FCS) | −22.2 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 2 | L 20-33 | @  #102 Florida International | −5.0 | 87.6% | −0.88 |
| 3 | L 13-55 | @ #67 Penn State | +3.9 | 65.0% | −0.65 |
| 4 | W 31-28 | vs Robert Morris (FCS) | −22.2 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 5 | L 17-20 | vs #59 Western Michigan | +0.8 | 84.8% | −0.85 |
| 6 | W 23-8 | @ #49 Toledo | +2.3 | 70.1% | +0.30 |
| 7 | W 25-18 | vs #100 Massachusetts | −5.0 | 93.7% | +0.06 |
| 8 | W 31-24 | vs #129 Bowling Green | −9.6 | 97.3% | +0.03 |
| 10 | W 34-31 | @ #92 Miami (OH) | −3.9 | 85.6% | +0.14 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 86
- Week 2: 108
- Week 3: 112
- Week 4: 97
- Week 5: 114
- Week 6: 93
- Week 7: 79
- Week 8: 74
- Week 9: 71
- Week 10: 60