No. 78 · American Athletic · 5-4
East Carolina
−2.35
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
57–84
P25–P75 finish
Power −0.9 pts (#79 in FBS) · 5-4
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#65 South Florida+0.18
#65 South Florida+0.18W
#128 Temple+0.05
#128 Temple+0.05W
#127 Old Dominion+0.05
#127 Old Dominion+0.05W
#130 Rice+0.04
#130 Rice+0.04WNorth Carolina Central (FCS)+0.00
L
#1 Alabama−0.19
#1 Alabama−0.19L
#41 Memphis−0.62
#41 Memphis−0.62L
#77 UAB−0.92
#77 UAB−0.92L
#87 App State−0.95
#87 App State−0.95Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 10-48 | @ #1 Alabama | +18.6 | 18.9% | −0.19 |
| 2 | L 24-27 | vs #87 App State | −6.9 | 95.5% | −0.95 |
| 3 | W 20-17 | @ #127 Old Dominion | −10.6 | 95.1% | +0.05 |
| 4 | W 42-9 | vs North Carolina Central (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 6 | W 28-12 | vs #130 Rice | −7.3 | 95.8% | +0.04 |
| 7 | L 17-30 | @ #77 UAB | −7.7 | 91.8% | −0.92 |
| 8 | L 34-41 | @ #41 Memphis | +5.0 | 61.5% | −0.62 |
| 9 | W 17-9 | vs #128 Temple | −6.1 | 94.8% | +0.05 |
| 10 | W 20-17 | vs #65 South Florida | +2.2 | 81.7% | +0.18 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 113
- Week 2: 120
- Week 3: 90
- Week 4: 79
- Week 5: 68
- Week 6: 51
- Week 7: 83
- Week 8: 96
- Week 9: 90
- Week 10: 78