No. 81 · American Athletic · 5-4

Tulsa

−2.63

WAB

Playoff odds

Conf title

58–77

P25–P75 finish

Power +1.8 pts (#57 in FBS) · 5-4

Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble

#40 Oklahoma State+0.47

#104 Tulane+0.12

#130 Rice+0.10

#135 Sam Houston+0.03

WEast Texas A&M (FCS)+0.00

#29 North Texas−0.74

#112 Navy−0.84

#74 Army−0.87

#90 Arkansas−0.90

Game by game

Wk	Result	Opponent	Opp power	Bubble team wins	WAB
1	W 24-10	vs #40 Oklahoma State	+11.8	52.9%	+0.47
2	W 23-17	@ #135 Sam Houston	−14.1	97.4%	+0.03
3	W 42-0	vs East Texas A&M (FCS)	−22.0	99.9%	+0.00
4	L 6-34	@ #90 Arkansas	−6.6	90.2%	−0.90
5	L 44-45	vs #29 North Texas	+5.1	74.3%	−0.74
6	L 26-34	@ #112 Navy	−3.1	84.0%	−0.84
7	W 38-17	@ #130 Rice	−6.5	90.1%	+0.10
8	L 35-38	vs #74 Army	−0.1	86.6%	−0.87
10	W 60-10	@ #104 Tulane	−5.1	87.8%	+0.12

“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.

Rank trajectory

Week 1: 35
Week 2: 9
Week 3: 17
Week 4: 51
Week 5: 88
Week 6: 108
Week 7: 85
Week 8: 98
Week 9: 93
Week 10: 81