No. 31 · ACC · 7-2
SMU
−0.43
WAB
2%
Playoff odds
<1%
Conf title
24–38
P25–P75 finish
Power +5.9 pts (#37 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#72 Florida State+0.36
#72 Florida State+0.36W
#54 Virginia Tech+0.20
#54 Virginia Tech+0.20W
#88 Virginia+0.14
#88 Virginia+0.14W
#95 Boston College+0.07
#95 Boston College+0.07W
#108 California+0.05
#108 California+0.05W
#122 Missouri State+0.03
#122 Missouri State+0.03WUC Davis (FCS)+0.00
L
#45 Louisville−0.48
#45 Louisville−0.48L
#89 Syracuse−0.80
#89 Syracuse−0.80Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 27-24 | @ #72 Florida State | +4.3 | 63.6% | +0.36 |
| 2 | W 56-10 | vs UC Davis (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | L 31-41 | @ #45 Louisville | +9.0 | 47.6% | −0.48 |
| 4 | W 34-24 | vs #122 Missouri State | −9.7 | 97.4% | +0.03 |
| 5 | W 25-16 | vs #95 Boston College | −4.6 | 93.2% | +0.07 |
| 7 | W 23-13 | vs #88 Virginia | +0.1 | 86.2% | +0.14 |
| 8 | W 59-20 | vs #108 California | −6.2 | 94.9% | +0.05 |
| 9 | L 27-30 | @ #89 Syracuse | −1.3 | 79.8% | −0.80 |
| 10 | W 51-28 | vs #54 Virginia Tech | +2.8 | 80.3% | +0.20 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 3
- Week 2: 19
- Week 3: 50
- Week 4: 45
- Week 5: 33
- Week 6: 33
- Week 7: 27
- Week 8: 23
- Week 9: 34
- Week 10: 31