No. 28 · Sun Belt · 7-2
Louisiana Tech
−0.29
WAB
<1%
Playoff odds
48%
Conf title
23–37
P25–P75 finish
Power +3.9 pts (#47 in FBS) · 7-2
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#106 South Alabama+0.15
#106 South Alabama+0.15W
#62 Louisiana+0.14
#62 Louisiana+0.14W
#74 Army+0.14
#74 Army+0.14W
#98 Troy+0.10
#98 Troy+0.10W
#127 Old Dominion+0.03
#127 Old Dominion+0.03W
#131 UL Monroe+0.02
#131 UL Monroe+0.02WNorthwestern State (FCS)+0.00
L
#24 LSU−0.33
#24 LSU−0.33L
#50 Baylor−0.55
#50 Baylor−0.55Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 80-6 | vs Northwestern State (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 2 | L 14-45 | @ #24 LSU | +13.3 | 33.3% | −0.33 |
| 3 | L 19-36 | @ #50 Baylor | +7.0 | 54.7% | −0.55 |
| 5 | W 31-29 | vs #74 Army | −0.0 | 86.4% | +0.14 |
| 6 | W 32-31 | vs #62 Louisiana | +0.4 | 85.5% | +0.14 |
| 7 | W 24-0 | @ #131 UL Monroe | −14.5 | 97.6% | +0.02 |
| 8 | W 26-0 | vs #127 Old Dominion | −8.9 | 97.0% | +0.03 |
| 9 | W 35-20 | @ #106 South Alabama | −3.4 | 84.6% | +0.15 |
| 10 | W 41-17 | @ #98 Troy | −6.6 | 90.2% | +0.10 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 62
- Week 2: 64
- Week 3: 92
- Week 4: 75
- Week 5: 60
- Week 6: 47
- Week 7: 40
- Week 8: 37
- Week 9: 30
- Week 10: 28