No. 107 · Sun Belt · 4-5
Arkansas State
−3.78
WAB
0%
Playoff odds
0%
Conf title
92–111
P25–P75 finish
Power −5.8 pts (#103 in FBS) · 4-5
Where the WAB came from9 games · wins above bubble
W
#86 Georgia State+0.14
#86 Georgia State+0.14W
#118 Kennesaw State+0.06
#118 Kennesaw State+0.06W
#124 Southern Miss+0.04
#124 Southern Miss+0.04WWest Georgia (FCS)+0.00
L
#41 Memphis−0.66
#41 Memphis−0.66L
#82 TCU−0.68
#82 TCU−0.68L
#62 Louisiana−0.74
#62 Louisiana−0.74L
#106 South Alabama−0.94
#106 South Alabama−0.94L
#131 UL Monroe−1.00
#131 UL Monroe−1.00Game by game
| Wk | Result | Opponent | Opp power | Bubble team wins | WAB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | L 24-42 | @ #41 Memphis | +3.5 | 66.3% | −0.66 |
| 2 | W 52-7 | vs West Georgia (FCS) | −22.0 | 99.9% | +0.00 |
| 3 | L 7-31 | @ #82 TCU | +3.0 | 68.0% | −0.68 |
| 4 | W 17-14 | vs #118 Kennesaw State | −5.3 | 94.0% | +0.06 |
| 5 | L 20-23 | @ #62 Louisiana | +1.0 | 73.7% | −0.74 |
| 6 | L 49-56 | vs #106 South Alabama | −5.5 | 94.3% | −0.94 |
| 7 | W 23-13 | @ #124 Southern Miss | −11.2 | 95.5% | +0.04 |
| 8 | W 38-32 | vs #86 Georgia State | −0.1 | 86.5% | +0.14 |
| 10 | L 17-19 | vs #131 UL Monroe | −17.2 | 99.5% | −1.00 |
“Bubble team wins” is the chance the bubble team would have won the same game at the same site. A win adds 1 minus that; a loss subtracts it. “Opp power” is the opponent rated without any of this team's games, so it can differ a little from the opponent's own power.
Rank trajectory
- Week 1: 91
- Week 2: 114
- Week 3: 119
- Week 4: 103
- Week 5: 106
- Week 6: 121
- Week 7: 114
- Week 8: 101
- Week 9: 97
- Week 10: 107